60-Day Technical Analysis Course

Flag Bearish Chart Pattern

articles1.jpg

This is the 46th Day course in a series of 60-Days called “Technical Analysis Training

You will get daily one series of this Training after 8 o’clock night (Dinner Finished)

Follow MoneyMunch.com Technical Analysis Directory and Learn Basic Education of Technical Analysis on the Indian Stock Market (NSE/BSE)

Technical-Analysis-Training

Flag Bearish Chart Pattern

Implication

A Flag (Bearish) is considered a bearish signal, indicating that the current downtrend may continue.

Description

A Flag (Bearish) follows a steep, or nearly vertical decline in price, and consists of two parallel trendlines that form a rectangular flag shape. The Flag can be horizontal (as though the wind is blowing it), however it often has a slight upward trend.

The vertical downtrend, that precedes a Flag, may occur because of buyers’ reactions to an unfavorable company announcement, such as a court case, or a sudden and unexpected departure of a CEO. The sharp price decrease is sometimes referred to as the “flagpole” or “mast”.

Bearish_Chart_Pattern

The rectangular flag shape is the product of what technical analysts refer to as consolidation. Consolidation occurs when the price seems to bounce between an upper and lower price limit. The Flag (Bearish) pattern formation reflects the reaction of sellers who are willing to sell at a lower cost, and the influx of buyers who inadvertently drive up the price as they compete to buy at the best possible price.

A bearish signal occurs when the price rebounds beyond the lower trendline of the Flag formation, and continues the original downward price movement. This is considered a pattern confirmation.

When speaking about Flags, technical analysts may use jargon and refer to the flag as “flying at half-mast”. Visually, this reference is nothing like a flag at half-mast, such as on a day of national mourning. Instead, this term refers to the location of the flag – at the mid-point of what would otherwise be a continuous downtrend.

Important Characteristics

Following are important characteristics for this pattern.

Trendlines

Flags are very similar to Pennants. However, with a Flag, the price trendlines tend to run parallel, whereas with a Pennant, the price trendlines tend to converge. John J. Murphy notes that a price drop below the lower trendline may indicate the resumption of the downtrend.

Volume

As the Flag develops, the volume tends to decrease. However, you will often notice a sharp spike in volume at the end of a Flag, whether it is bearish or bullish.

Duration of the Pattern

Martin Pring notes in his book, Technical Analysis Explained that “Flags can form in a period as short as 5 days or as longs as 3 to 5 weeks.” John J. Murphy identifies that Flags “often last no longer than one or two weeks.”

Trading Considerations

Possibility of Price Reversal

In some rare cases, the price will break against the original price movement, and create a reversal trend. The pattern reversal may be signaled during the Flag formation by a pattern of increasing volume, as opposed to the more typical decrease.

Duration of the Pattern

The duration of the pattern depends on the extent of the price fluctuations (consolidation). The greater the fluctuations, the longer a pattern will take to develop.

Target Price

It is commonly held that the length of the flagpole indicates the potential price decrease. When the Flag completes, the price typically jumps to replicate the height of the original flagpole, while continuing in the direction of the inbound trend.

Criteria that Supports

Volume

Volume should diminish noticeably as the pattern forms.

A strong volume spike on the day of the pattern confirmation is a strong indicator in support of the potential for this pattern. The volume spike should be significantly above the average of the volume for the duration of the pattern. In addition, the volume over the course of the pattern should be declining on average.

Criteria that Refutes

Duration of the Pattern

According to Martin Pring, a pattern that exceeds “4 weeks to develop should … be treated with caution”. After 4 weeks, interest in the stock is likely to decrease to point that it is unlikely to continue in a strong downtrend.

No Volume Spike on Breakout

The lack of a volume spike on the day of the pattern confirmation is an indication that this pattern may not be reliable. In addition, if the volume has remained constant, or was increasing, over the duration of the pattern, then this pattern should be considered less reliable and may actually reverse.

Long Inbound Trend

Shabacker writes that, “When a mast is long … and it’s Flag relatively small, we should naturally expect the movement to be pretty well exhausted when its indicated objective is reached.” He suggests that when you observe this formation, and a price continuation occurs, it is best to use the flagpole as a “yard-stick” to indicate the level at which to “take profits, step aside, and watch for further chart developments.”

Underlying Behavior

This pattern is effectively a pause in a downtrend. The price has gotten ahead of itself with a steep rise; therefore market activity takes a break before continuing the downtrend. This pause is reflected in the decreasing trading volume. Similarly, a spike in volume marks the resumption of the downtrend.

Message for you(Trader/Investor): Google has the answers to most all of your questions, after exploring Google if you still have thoughts or questions my Email is open 24/7. Each week you will receive your Course Materials. You can print it and highlight for your Technical Analysis Training.

Wishing you a wonderful learning experience and the continued desire to grow your knowledge. Education is an essential part of living wisely and the Experiences of life, I hope you make it fun.

Learning how to profit in the Stock Market requires time and unfortunately mistakes which are called losses. Why not be profitable while you are learning?

TABLE OF CONTENTS

Candlestick and Chart Patterns (15 Days)

7 Most Important Candlestick Chart Patterns

Top 2 Bearish Chart Patterns

Top 6 Bullish Chart Patterns

Indicators & Oscillators (12 Days)

Bullish or Bearish Indicators

Bullish or Bearish Oscillators

Classic Chart Patterns (29 Days)

Bearish Classic Chart Patterns

Bullish Classic Chart Patterns

Best Trading Theories (4 Days)

Kind attention: this course is helpful for beginner and intermediate traders. It’s free for everyone. Advanced modules, trading strategies, and data (in-depth) are available for Moneymunch’s premium subscribers.

Get free important share market ideas on stocks & nifty tips chart setups, analysis for the upcoming session, and more by joining the below link: Stock Tips

Have you any questions/feedback about this article? Please leave your queries in the comment box for answers.

Disclaimer: The information provided on this website, including but not limited to stock, commodity, and forex trading tips, technical analysis, and research reports, is solely for educational and informational purposes. It should not be considered as financial advice or a recommendation to engage in any trading activity. Trading in stocks, commodities, and forex involves substantial risks, and you should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a professional advisor before making any trading decisions. Moneymunch.com and its authors do not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information provided, and shall not be held responsible for any losses or damages incurred as a result of using or relying on such information. Trading in the financial markets is subject to market risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. By accessing and using this website, you acknowledge and agree to the terms of this disclaimer.
Previous ArticleNext Article
The Moneymunch editorial staff is a team of experienced financial writers and analysts with over a decade of experience in the financial markets. They have previously contributed to popular financial blogs and newspapers, and are passionate about providing accurate and up-to-date information to help both investors and traders make informed decisions. Trust the Moneymunch editorial staff to provide reliable and effective financial advice that can help you achieve your financial goals.

Write a Comment

Comment Policy: We love comments and appreciate the time that readers spend to share ideas and give feedback. However, all comments are manually moderated and those deemed to be spam or solely promotional will be deleted. Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Send this to a friend