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Preface:
IDFC First bank is ready to march upward. After making the high of 69.30, the Price has started the corrective wave four and took 179 days to complete. The ending point of wave 4 is the starting point of impulsive wave 5.
Wave Formations and Fibonacci relationships:
Wave 1 is a Leading diagonal which has a 3-3-3-3-3 sub-wave structure.
Wave 2 is a combination where wave ‘W‘ is a zigzag & wave ‘Y‘ is a triangle. Fibonacci retracement of wave 2 is 38.2% of wave 1.
Wave 2 is not exceeding the starting point of wave 1.
Wave 3 is an extensive impulse. 3rd wave has 261.8% retracement of wave 1.
Wave 4 is a zigzag correction with a 5-3-5 wave structure.
Sub-wave of wave 4 fulfilled the rule of equality (wave A= wave C).
Wave 4 retraced 78.6% of wave 3.
What will happen next?
Completion of sub-wave C indicates that the corrective wave has ended. Price has started forming sub-waves of wave 5.
Wave (ii) retraced 78.6% of wave (i).
If the IDFC First Bank breaks the high of wave 1, it will confirm the impulsive behavior of wave (iii).
(Note that the ending point of the corrective wave is the starting point of an impulsive wave.)
A trader can expect the following targets: 64-74.64- 86.2+
Target 1: 64
[Clusters: high of wave B,161.8% of wave (iii), 78.6% of reverse Fibonacci retracement of wave 4]
Target 2: 74.64
[Clusters: 2.618% of wave (i) through (iii), 161.8% of wave 1 through 3]
Target 3: 86.23
[Clusters: 78.6% reverse Fibonacci retracement of wave 4]
I have also recommended this stock for a portfolio on Nov 24. Here, 8 Indian Stocks That Can Turn 1 Lakh Into 10 Lakh by 2030
UPDATE: Today I have updated Nifty (Nifty technically short-term bullish, but…). It’s all target done after opening the bell.
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Nifty hasn’t given a continuous breakout of the lower high. If nifty couldn’t give consecutive closes above lower high, there can be a failed swing low and signals resumption of the trend.
In 30-minute timeframe, the price has made a value area box where supply equals demand. If nifty gives a continuous break to the upper band of the value area, traders can initiate a buy position for the target of 17554-17586-17618.
Strong closes above 17621 indicate a good time for bull traders.
Swing failure may drive the price lower. Bear traders can look for 17465-17408-17312.
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Bank Nifty had stuck into the descending channel (DC) from 25 Oct to 07 Dec. The upper trendline of DC has broken and started moving forward. It has filled the 25 Nov gap yesterday and marching towards the supply zone. We have chances to see 37600 – 37800+ levels today. Intraday traders can take benefit of it.
But you must note the second resistance of 36871. It’s a barrier for buyers. If Bank Nifty remains under of it, then we may see an excess of this channel. And that will collapse the Bank Nifty prices from 36800 to 36300 – 35696 below. That’s why I have highlighted the supply zone in the above chart with a strict warning.
I have used RSI and Stoch RSI together. The Stoch RSI is indicating a downtrend ahead. But, others (MA, DMI, & RSI) are throwing positive signs. Hence, you have to focus on the second resistance line only.
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I had updated an hourly chart of Nifty the day before yesterday. Click the below link to open it.
Nifty Today: The Case Of Initiative And Response Between Bulls & Bears
Nifty is performing under a parallel channel as described in the above chart. See the below chart to see what happens next.
Nifty has completed the law of similar action. It has broken the corrective channels and touched the lower band at 16892. Price has faced support on the lower band and responded with demand by touching the upper band.
At this time, the price is out of the downtrend channel.
In my previous idea, I have mentioned that if the price can’t break the pivot point, there are high chances of price excess.
Our nearest lower high (LH) is 17403, which may react as a resistance.
In a nutshell, if nifty breaks the pivot at 17621, there are higher chances of the trend changing. Before reaching the pivot point, it has to break the resistance line.
Failure will be the cause of excess. To become a subscriber, subscribe to our free newsletter services. Our service is free for all.
According to the Elliott wave principle, AB capital has finished the corrective wave ((iv)).
Price carrying on the impulsive wave (v), yet traders shouldn’t take the position without a proper signal.
If the price breaks wave (X), the price will surely make a new high because it will give evidence of the impulsive move.
Price may take retracement as wave x works as a resistance which can be the best entry for bull traders.
We can see the following targets:
127.70
138.96
151.2
165.9+
Invalidation: breakout of the minor channel.
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