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MCX Gold Futures: Impulsive structure (1.55L+)

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free nse mcxgold chart calls
Figure 1. MCX GOLD FUT Projection

MCX Gold Futures remain in a confirmed impulsive structure on the daily timeframe. Elliott Wave analysis identifies the market within Primary Wave (III), which is still developing and structurally incomplete. Internal price action subdivides into a valid five-wave impulse at the intermediate degree, with Intermediate wave v currently unfolding.

Based on the current impulsive structure, the following levels may act as potential upside reference zones if the ongoing trend remains intact: 141900 – 147600 – 155700.

MCX Silver continues to broadly track gold’s structural bias, while energy markets (Crude Oil and Natural Gas) remain more sensitive to inventory data and macro-liquidity signals during the current phase.

Key Economic Events – This Week
(Potential volatility drivers across Gold, Silver, Crude Oil & Natural Gas)

29 December 2025

21:00 – USD Crude Oil Inventories (High Impact)
→ Direct impact on Crude Oil, secondary sentiment spillover to the commodities complex

22:30 – USD Natural Gas Storage (Low Impact)
→ Direct impact on Natural Gas, limited macro spillover

30 December 2025

11:30 – RUB S&P Global Services PMI (Dec) (Low Impact)
→ Limited regional relevance

19:30 – USD S&P/CS HPI Composite (Medium Impact)
→ Broader USD sentiment; indirect impact on Gold & Silver

31 December 2025

00:30 – USD FOMC Meeting Minutes (High Impact)
→ Key driver for USD liquidity expectations; potential volatility in Gold & Silver

03:00 – USD API Weekly Crude Oil Stock (Medium Impact)
→ Near-term Crude Oil price sensitivity

07:00 – CNY Manufacturing PMI (Dec) (Medium Impact)
→ Demand sentiment implications for industrial commodities

19:00 – USD Initial Jobless Claims (Medium Impact)
→ USD strength/weakness implications

23:30 – USD Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count (Medium Impact)
→ Forward supply signal for Crude Oil & Natural Gas

02 January 2026

10:30 – INR S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Dec) (Medium Impact)
→ Domestic demand sentiment; relevance for MCX commodities

17:00 – INR FX Reserves (USD) (Medium Impact)
→ INR stability; indirect impact on MCX pricing

20:15 – USD S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Dec) (High Impact)
→ Global growth & USD liquidity expectations; broad commodity impact

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