Free Stock, Commodity, Forex Trading Tips & Education Articles

10 Tops Stories for Stock Market 22-11-2012

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• Birinyi: Sixth Myths About the Stock Market (MarketBeat) • 10 things stores won’t say about Black Friday (MarketWatch) see also Bionic Mannequins Spy on Shoppers to Boost Luxury Sales (Bloomberg) • HP’s Accounting Claims Are Seen as Cover for Bad Deals  (Bloomberg) see also H-P Says It Was Duped, Takes $8.8 Billion Charge (WSJ) • The Making Of A Great Contraction With A Liquidity Trap and A Jobless Recovery (The National Bureau of Economic Research) • Wall Street Kept Winning on Mortgages Upending Homeowners (Bloomberg) see also Mortgage Settlement Monitor “Progress” Report Gooses Numbers to Hide Lack of Real Relief to Homeowners (Naked Capitalism) • Apple and the Desire for Control (Bits) • Todays WTF Headline: Republican-Heavy Counties Eat Up Most Food-Stamp Growth (Bloomberg) see also The Confederacy of Takers (Washington Post) • You Can’t Say That on the Internet (NYT) • Modern wheat a “perfect, chronic poison,” doctor says (CBS News) • After Obama, Christie Wants a G.O.P. Hug (NYT) see also Conservative Republicans fight back after Romney loss (Washington Post)
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Your financial goals: Investment planning

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This is the Third course in a series of  7 called ” Your financial goals”

A sound investment strategy is critical to helping your money grow and, ideally, outpace inflation. However, if you’re like many people, you may not have the time or the inclination to analyze how different investments or securities may fit into your portfolio and you may wonder whether you’re investing appropriately to meet your financial goals.

Clarify your investment goals

Before you invest your money, it’s important to identify and prioritize your financial goals, assess your risk tolerance and understand your investment options. A financial advisor can help you sort through your options and invest appropriately. Some questions to consider:

  • What needs and dreams are you saving for? Retirement, a home, education?
  • When will you need the money you plan to invest now?
  • What is your risk tolerance? Are you willing to invest in stocks that may rise and fall in value in the short term, but have the potential to deliver larger returns in the long run? Or would you feel better if your money was invested more conservatively?
  • Do you understand how different investment vehicles (stocks, bonds, mutual funds, real estate, etc.) work? And the potential tax advantages of each?
Develop an investment strategy

Working with a financial advisor can help you:

  • Assess your financial situation. Create a clear picture of your current financial situation, including analyzing your investment timeframe and your risk tolerance.
  • Understand investing options, such as investment types and accounts, to help you make decisions that are right for you.
  • Apply diversification. Invest in a variety of assets to distribute and reduce risk.
  • Allocate your funds. Spread your investments among different asset categories, including stocks, bonds, cash and real estate, a process known as asset allocation. This also helps dilute risk.
  • Monitor your progress. Revisit and re-allocate your portfolio regularly to make sure your investments are still aligned with your current needs and future goals.
  • Consider tax implications. Be aware of tax advantages as well as tax consequences so you can avoid paying unnecessary fees.
Message for you(Trader/Investor): Google has the answers to most all of your questions, after exploring Google if you still have thoughts or questions my Email is open 24/7. Each week you will receive your Course Materials. You can print it and highlight for your life Goal. Your financial goals ( 7 Days – Comprehensive Course)
  1. College education
  2. Business ownership
  3. Investment planning
  4. Estate planning
  5. Insurance
  6. Long-term health care
  7. Charitable giving
This Completes the List of Courses. Wishing you a wonderful learning experience and the continued desire to grow your knowledge. Education is an essential part of living wisely and the Experiences of life, I hope you make it fun. Learning how to profit in the Stock Market requires time and unfortunately mistakes which are called losses. Why not be profitable while you are learning?

New update: MCX Mentha oil, cardamom and NCDEX Soybean, castor seed

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cardamom mcx ncdex tips

If once cardamom closes and cross 917 levels above then my ultimate targets: 935-947-959-969

 

mcx mentha oil calls

I’ll not say more about Mentha oil. Just keep in mind below targets.
Intraday Targets: 1279-1291
Short term targets: 1300-1311

 

sybean soya bean tip

If once open downward then Go and Sell it now with stop loss 3262
Targets: 3245-3237
[Remember, it should be open downside]

 

ncdex castor seed oil tips

Risky: You can sell if it’ll open downside. Targets: 3543-3530-3517

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S&P 500: Complicated from Here

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While things are never easy, the (quote-unquote) obvious trade in the major indexes has now played out, especially on the S&P 500.  Of course most of it happened in an overnight gap up, but that has been par for the course.  From here things get more complicated.  Here are a few ways to look at the roadmap utilizing the S&P 500.

First the original S&P 500 chart that has been in play for months, looking at the June-Sep run, and pullback since.   Two key points here – the index has bounced from the 61.8% retrace to nearly the original 38.2% retrace at ~1395.   That number is also key in that it was support multiple times in August 2012.  Support turns into resistance and vice versa so this 1395 level is a very obvious level to watch.

s-and-p-500

Second, is the chart I posted yesterday morning which is simply the same Fibonacci levels but focused solely on the September-November pullback.  What’s the first number that sticks out?  1394 (call it 1395, close enough for government work).  That is the 38.2% retrace of the two month correction.

s-and-p-500-index

If 1395 is vanquished, the next two levels are 1409 to 1424 which you can see was an area with a lot of traffic in late October to early November before the correction became much more ferocious.   That second number also coincides with a falling 50 day moving average.

Last, on a very short term frame there is a potential for an inverse head and shoulders formation (which favors bulls) in the near term.  The head being Thursday/Friday’s lows and the neckline being about “here” at 1390.   If that does play out, it measures to a target of ~1430.  That would be a 3% move from here.. and still not create a new higher high versus those early November levels.  Hence all that could in theory happen and still bode poorly afterwards.   But either way, one can see all the congestion and push pull in the areas overhead.

Of course all this coincides with positive seasonality, the constant negotiations re: the fiscal cliff, the next round of easing to be announced at December’s FOMC meeting (to replace Operation Twist), and a slowing corporate earnings outlook.

Anyhow enjoy the Thanksgiving holiday and we’ll catch you on the other side.

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Fiscal 2009 to Fiscal 2012

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Fiscal-Brakes Wow, this is a rather surprising data point: “From fiscal 2009 to fiscal 2012, the deficit shrank 3.1 percentage points, from 10.1% to 7.0% of GDP.” It is even more surprising when you consider its source is the usually conservative Investors’ Business Daily! Here is a longer excerpt:
Believe it or not, the federal deficit has fallen faster over the past three years than it has in any such stretch since demobilization from World War II. In fact, outside of that post-WWII era, the only time the deficit has fallen faster was when the economy relapsed in 1937, turning the Great Depression into a decade-long affair. If U.S. history offers any guide, we are already testing the speed limits of a fiscal consolidation that doesn’t risk backfiring. That’s why the best way to address the fiscal cliff likely is to postpone it.

Monthly Charts Clarify Pre-Drediction for Gold and Silver

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We’ve been surprised at the recent action in the precious metals complex. During the recent correction the shares were showing quite a bit more strength than the metals. Then the shares took a dive below support yet the metals maintained their recent lows! How do we interpret this wild volatility in the relationship between the shares and the metals? Quite often we look at daily and weekly charts. Now is the time to take a look at the monthly charts which can help us get a better read on the larger trends at hand.

The monthly chart of Gold shows the yellow metal in a very healthy consolidation between $1550 and $1800. Gold’s current retreat from $1800 has lasted two months. Back in 2009, Gold brokeout to a new all-time high in the seventh month of its consolidation. Presently, Gold’s bollinger band width is at a multi-year low and its three-month volume average is at a two year low. Also, the RSI has bottomed and made a higher low. Even if Gold touched $1600, it would remain in healthy position for a breakout in 2013.

gold-buy

Gold’s companion Silver is currently trading in a tighter consolidation with $35 as resistance and $27 as support. Note that Silver has tested and held above $27 six times in the last fifteen months. Silver also held above the rising 40-month moving average which supported the market in 2009 and 2010. The RSI has also made a higher low and volume has trended down during the past seven months.

silver-buy

Meanwhile, the gold stocks (HUI) look weaker than the metals. Momentum hasn’t confirmed its bottom as the market is in a clear range from 400 (support) and 525 (resistance). Note the current 11% decline in the HUI for the month while Gold and Silver are still in positive territory. Nevertheless, if and when the HUI prints a monthly close above 525, this chart would like quite bullish and general sentiment would certainly pick up.

gold-and-silver

The evidence argues that the bottoms remain well intact and the metals are consolidating before the next breakout which entails Gold breaking $1800 and Silver $35. However, these breakouts are by no means imminent. Since we are dealing with monthly charts that means potentially three or four more months of consolidation. Furthermore, sentiment data such as the COT structure and public opinion polls need some improvement before the market could sustain a breakout. Thus, more consolidation could be the order of the day for the metals.

Continued consolidation in the metals also helps explain recent weakness in the HUI, which is simply testing the lower half of its own consolidation. The shares see the weakness in the overall market and perhaps sense that an immediate breakout in the metals is unlikely Furthermore, while central banks have put themselves in position to act they haven’t actually done anything yet. When the market senses their action it will likely mark a final low within this consolidation.

The good news is the metals remain in fine shape and so to do most of the mining equities we follow. If we are indeed correct that the metals and shares will remain range bound then your task is simple. Prepare yourself for further consolidation by having your buy list ready and then be ready to act when the time comes. A wise friend once told me that in a bull market the goal is to accumulate positions at the lowest prices possible. With mining equities trading well off their highs, now is the time to do your research and find the companies that will lead the next leg higher and outperform the gold stock sector.

Good Luck!

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