Type: bullish continuation
A cup and handle is a popular chart pattern among technicians. It had developed by William O’Neil and introduced in 1998. As the name suggests, the pattern is shaped like a cup with a handle. The shape of the cup is “U”, and the handle is pointing downward. The cup has a “U” shape and a downward-pointing handle. The ending point of the handle indicates buying opportunity. As soon as this part of the price formation is complete, the stock may reverse course and reach higher levels.
1. Prior trend: We are trading bullish continuation Cup & handle. So, the prior trend should be upward. It shows that the price will continue to trend after a retracement of the previous impulse. Buyers are generating demand to push the trend.
2. Construction: “U” shaped bottoms are an ideal pattern and more reliable than “V” bottoms because there is almost no consolidation in this case. The perfect pattern would have equal highs on both sides of the cup, but this does not often occur.
3. Duration: It is possible to spread the cup out over 1 to 6 months, and occasionally longer. The handle should form and finish over a period of 1-4 weeks.
4. Breakout: The pattern confirms a bullish trend when it breaks above the neckline formed by the previous highs with good volume. A buy point is reached when the stock breaks out or moves upward through the old resistance level (right side of the cup).
5. Volume: During the base of the bowl, the volume should decrease as prices decline, remaining lower than average; then, it should increase when the stock begins to move higher, back up to the previous high.
7. Profit targets: It is calculated based on the depth of the cup as a profit target. The breakout level can be determined by extending the distance from the bottom of the cup to the neckline and measuring upward from there.
8. Stop-loss: It is ideal to place the stop-loss at the bottom of the handle. Also, You can place the stop-loss below the swing low if the price oscillated within the handle several times.
Click here: NSE NIFTY Weekly Overview – 31 October 2022
Result of the previous outlook:
We discussed the importance of closing above the pivot level in our previous outlook. The price was trading at 17786, and it has broken out of the dynamic resistance line. My outlook for the month was bullish.
I had written clearly, “Can you imagine that one bullish candle could reach the 19000 targets in every advisor’s notebook?”
- Price has made a new high of 18998 in the future market.
Where do we go from here?
TECHM has made a high of 1838 and completed the impulsive wave (5). It is the ending point of an impulsive wave that marks the beginning of a corrective wave. After the breakdown of the base channel, the price has stated an ABC correction.
TECHM has accomplished an impulsive wave at 943.7 with 2.618% reverse Fibonacci of wave (B) and 1.618% of wave (A). Wave (C) occurred nearby the previous sub-wave 4th at 943.
The current price movement is near the recent high of 1164, which represents a resistance level. This level should not be ignored if you have taken a long position. 1164 -1196 is a strong resistance zone that can abrupt upward momentum.
If the price breaks this range, swing/Positional traders can buy for the following targets: . Breaks out of the previous high suggest start of an impulsive wave, but the range breakout will be a strong evidence for an impulse.
Publish date: 15/06/2021