DOW THEORY ALSO GIVES STOCK WARNING

djia

DOW THEORY ALSO GIVES STOCK WARNING; Suppose close below 12,950,… then panic 12,866-12,600. They were warning signs. Dow is trading in down trend since 4 weeks…

Actually, Dow Jones is trading at Good support… Suppose to take this support, then DJIA will be move up trend…

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M&M Bullish Targets 777

M&M

(Cash NSE)

Buyers can be see again 758-761

Don’t keep position if reak 755

Go for targets 767 and 771

Suppose trade 764 above after 3 O’clock… then hold position for targets 777-782 and 801

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NIFTY FUTURE is trading 5275

NIFTY FUTURE is trading 5275 and HDIL Cash NSE trading 67.5. Market will move in single direction very soon. Nifty Future will take support intraday 5248-5259.

Note: FII is started buying in deep & deep

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Share Tips

Infosys Trading Tips

INFOSYS

Likely to take support at 2355-2349.

Exit below 2344. Break below 2344 will take it to 2333-2324.

Crossover above 2369-2374 may drive up to 2382 which is

hurdle zone.

Power Grid Trading Call

 Power Grid

Buy at 121-121.50 with

stoploss 120.5 for intraday

Target = 123-124.50

See the power of our projections we made in our Post here

We  recommended Bharti Airtel at 244 and rose up to 249

Also advised to sell Axis bank below 990 

Axis Bank moved lower up to 974.

Yesterday have you bought OFSS at 3010

which blasted up to 3061.

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Nifty Future

Nifty Future
(Updated on 04-09-2012 at 08:30 AM)

We clearly indicated yesterday that 5328 is strong resistance for

the short term trend and also mentioned support at 5269.

NF moved up to 5325 and formed low at 5272.

Now for Today…

crossover 5295 will take Nifty fut to 5310-5318.

5328-5336 zone is hurdle zone. NF has to take out this and

trade above with sustained vol with 15-20 minutes

to reverse the bearish trend.

Break below 5270 may drive it to 5263-5256.

IF trades below 5251 with sustained volumes then

expect panic selling up to 5238-5228-5210.

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Truth of Option Trade: 10 Ways to Move From Risk to Profits

option-trade-profit

Stock options are not lottery tickets, chips in a casino, or a path to easy street. They are tools for the transference of risk from one person to the other. When trading options you must understand where the risk lies in your specific option play and what  the odds are of you winning. The Black-Scholes option pricing model does an excellent job of pricing in known variables of time and volatility into options. Implied volatility does not predict direction of the movement it predicts the amount of movement. The edge lies in three places #1 following the chart and trading in the direction of the trend #2 managing your risk on every trade allowing your wins to be bigger than your losses in the long term, and #3 having the discipline to follow your trading plan. Option trading is no different than any other kind of trading, just more leverage and speed of percentage movement.

  1. The first question to ask in any option trade is how much of my capital could I lose in the worst case scenario not how much can I make.
  2. Long options are tools that can be used to create asymmetric trades with a built in downside and unlimited upside.
  3. Short options should only be sold when the probabilities are deeply in your favor that they will expire worthless, also a small hedge can pay for itself in the long run.
  4. Understand that in long options you have to overcome the time priced into the premium to be profitable even if you are right on the direction of the move.
  5. Long  weekly deep-in-the-money options can be used like stock with much less out lay of capital.
  6. The reason that deeper in the money options have so little time and volatility priced in is becasue you are ensuring someones profits in that stock. That is where the risk is:intrinsic value, and that risk is on the buyer.
  7. When you buy out-of-the-money options understand that you must be right about direction, time period of move, and amount of move to make money. Also understand this is already priced in.
  8. When trading a high volatility event that price move will be priced into the option, after the event the option price will remove that volatility value and the option value will collapse. You can only make money through those events with options if the increase in intrinsic value increases enough to replace the vega value that comes out.
  9. Only trade in options with high volume so you do not lose a large amount of money on the bid/ask spread when entering and exiting trades.
  10. When used correctly options can be tools for managing risk, used incorrectly they can blow up your account. I suggest never risking more than 1% of your trading capital on any one option trade.
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