Is Silver(XAGUSD) Ready For Trend Change?

free forex currency xagusd silver chart calls

Silver(XAGUSD) has formed a downtrend channel for more than 48 weeks. Price has made a high of 30.03, and sellers entered the market.

Price Action Perspective:

Price has made a series of Lower Highs and Lower Lows, and the control line gives nine touches.

According to Dow theory, if the price breaks the previous LL, it will make a new LL. The upper band & lower band has provided strong reversals to the price.

After breaking the LL, if the price gives a breakout of the downtrend channel, it indicates the worst fundamentals. And if the price gets reversed to create the lower band of the downtrend channel, the price will march to the upper band touch.

Elliott Perspective:

Price has constituted a corrective structure, where price has completed double zigzag(w-x-y).

It will create the last leg wave Z in order to complete the Triple correction. After making the last leg Z, silver will start a five-wave impulsive wave.

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MCX Gold & Silver Spot Prepare For Another Price Advance

free commodity gold daily tips chart

Determining the MCX Gold Price Next Big Move

According to this chart, gold has started falling from August month. Doji appearing in the last trading session. It’s signaling a possible reversal. If gold follows the dynamic resistance, we may see a continuous downtrend. That can be up to 0.5 (47300) to 0.618 (45200) of Fib retracement.

Fib retracement (reverse):
Swing High: 56191
Swing Low: 38400

Here’s ADX less than 25, and +DI is above the -DI . Additionally, 200 MA & 50 MA is throwing uptrend signals. If we follow the moving average, gold may try to hit 51000 – 51990 (0.236) levels.

Intraday traders should watch dynamic resistance before entering.

free commodity silver spot chart signals

Silver Follow Up & Future Predictions For 2020 & 2021 – Part I

Here I have used Gann fan and Fibonacci on Silver sport to identify the current trend.

Fib Retracement:
Top: $29.90
Bottom: $11.64

If silver remains above the 78.6% level, the target will be $27 – $27.8

And if it goes inside 8/1 or remains below 78.6% level, we will see the silver price at 0.618 value of fib retracement. The day traders can use the following levels as targets: $25 – $24 – $23

According to DMI, ADX is less than 25 but turning up. And +DI is signaling an upside rally. Technically, silver is a further advance.

For advance traders, watch significant releases or events that may affect the movement of gold , silver & crude oil:
Monday, Dec 21, 2020:

  • 12:00 – Gold Index

Wednesday, Dec 23, 2020:

  • 3:00 – API Weekly Crude Oil Stock
  • 21:00 – Crude Oil Inventories, EIA Refinery Crude Runs (WoW), Crude Oil Imports, and Cushing Crude Oil Inventories
  • 21:30 – Natural Gas Storage

Accurate entry-level, target and stop-loss are available for premium members only.
Would you like to get MCX trading tips during market hours?

Subscribe now and get 50% OFF on commodity pricing plans: Click here →

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COMEX Gold & Silver Forecasts– It’s time to earn!

FREE COMEX Gold intraday charts signals

Day traders must wait for 1319 levels. Aggressive traders go and sell gold now because it’s going to touch 1314.1-1311.1 below levels.

Keep your stop loss 1322.1 levels. If Gold closes above the level, then you may see unstoppable up moves.

Trade in silver with perfect levels or do not trade. DON’T SELL THE SILVER UNTIL BREAK YESTERDAY LOW (19.456). Because if it will break out the yesterday low, then we may see 19.245 level in just a  few hours.

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FREE Commodity Gold & Silver updates with charts and intraday tips

On last weekly analysis reports, I had provided Gold spot forecast. If you don’t remember 4th Oct, 2015 newsletter then click here and read it again please.
I was boldly saying there, “if that (gold) cross and close above $1139 level then gold spot will move continue up. Keep in mind, waiting $1150-$1160+ levels ahead of $1139 level.

Exactly, gold run how I was said to you and the gold touched my both targets too!

Gold chart 1 year

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silver spot 1 year chart

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Commodity Gold & Silver charts, reports and tips

Gold technical chart 1year

On last trading session, COMEX gold spot had jumped 2.17% and closed at $1137.9 (+24.2). Indian MCX gold buyers missed a big opportunity! Monday opening bell will give shock sellers and if that cross and close above $1139 level then gold spot will move continue up. Keep in mind, waiting $1150-$1160+ levels ahead of $1139 level.

Now you must be thinking about silver, right? I’ll predict silver future by just 1 sentence. If you’re a premium subscriber, then login and see it!

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Monthly Charts Clarify Pre-Drediction for Gold and Silver

We’ve been surprised at the recent action in the precious metals complex. During the recent correction the shares were showing quite a bit more strength than the metals. Then the shares took a dive below support yet the metals maintained their recent lows! How do we interpret this wild volatility in the relationship between the shares and the metals? Quite often we look at daily and weekly charts. Now is the time to take a look at the monthly charts which can help us get a better read on the larger trends at hand.

The monthly chart of Gold shows the yellow metal in a very healthy consolidation between $1550 and $1800. Gold’s current retreat from $1800 has lasted two months. Back in 2009, Gold brokeout to a new all-time high in the seventh month of its consolidation. Presently, Gold’s bollinger band width is at a multi-year low and its three-month volume average is at a two year low. Also, the RSI has bottomed and made a higher low. Even if Gold touched $1600, it would remain in healthy position for a breakout in 2013.

gold-buy

Gold’s companion Silver is currently trading in a tighter consolidation with $35 as resistance and $27 as support. Note that Silver has tested and held above $27 six times in the last fifteen months. Silver also held above the rising 40-month moving average which supported the market in 2009 and 2010. The RSI has also made a higher low and volume has trended down during the past seven months.

silver-buy

Meanwhile, the gold stocks (HUI) look weaker than the metals. Momentum hasn’t confirmed its bottom as the market is in a clear range from 400 (support) and 525 (resistance). Note the current 11% decline in the HUI for the month while Gold and Silver are still in positive territory. Nevertheless, if and when the HUI prints a monthly close above 525, this chart would like quite bullish and general sentiment would certainly pick up.

gold-and-silver

The evidence argues that the bottoms remain well intact and the metals are consolidating before the next breakout which entails Gold breaking $1800 and Silver $35. However, these breakouts are by no means imminent. Since we are dealing with monthly charts that means potentially three or four more months of consolidation. Furthermore, sentiment data such as the COT structure and public opinion polls need some improvement before the market could sustain a breakout. Thus, more consolidation could be the order of the day for the metals.

Continued consolidation in the metals also helps explain recent weakness in the HUI, which is simply testing the lower half of its own consolidation. The shares see the weakness in the overall market and perhaps sense that an immediate breakout in the metals is unlikely Furthermore, while central banks have put themselves in position to act they haven’t actually done anything yet. When the market senses their action it will likely mark a final low within this consolidation.

The good news is the metals remain in fine shape and so to do most of the mining equities we follow. If we are indeed correct that the metals and shares will remain range bound then your task is simple. Prepare yourself for further consolidation by having your buy list ready and then be ready to act when the time comes. A wise friend once told me that in a bull market the goal is to accumulate positions at the lowest prices possible. With mining equities trading well off their highs, now is the time to do your research and find the companies that will lead the next leg higher and outperform the gold stock sector.

Good Luck!

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