High Confidence Trade-Setups

When dealing with the disadvantages of the Naked Call/Put Strategy, it’s important to have a risk management plan in place to protect your capital from the unlimited risk (in the case of Naked Calls) or substantial losses (in the case of Naked Puts). Here are some techniques and plans to mitigate those risks:

1. Hedging with Protective Options (Convert to Spread)

One of the most effective ways to limit the risk of a Naked Call/Put is to buy a protective option at a different strike price, converting the strategy into a spread.

• For a Naked Call:
  Convert it into a Bear Call Spread by buying a higher strike call option. This limits your upside risk.
  • Example: If you sell a ₹100 strike call, you could buy a ₹110 strike call to cap your losses. This way, if the stock rises above ₹100, your maximum loss is limited to the difference between the two strike prices minus the premium collected.
• For a Naked Put:
  Convert it into a Bull Put Spread by buying a lower strike put option. This limits your downside risk.
  • Example: If you sell a ₹100 strike put, you could buy a ₹90 strike put. This limits your losses if the stock price falls below ₹100.

Pros:

• Your risk becomes limited instead of unlimited, making the trade more manageable.
• You still collect premium, but now with defined risk.

2. Use a Stop-Loss or Mental Stop

To manage potential losses, setting a stop-loss is a straightforward but effective method. A stop-loss automatically closes your position when the market moves against you by a certain amount.

• For a Naked Call:
  If the stock price rises toward your strike price, set a stop-loss to automatically exit the position when the stock crosses a predefined price. For example, if you sell a ₹100 strike call, set a stop-loss at ₹105.
• For a Naked Put:
  Similarly, if the stock price is falling toward your put strike, set a stop-loss just above the strike price to minimize losses. For example, if you sell a ₹100 strike put, set a stop-loss at ₹95.

Pros:

• It helps you exit the position early before the losses become too large.
• Suitable for volatile markets where prices can move rapidly.

Cons:

• Gaps in the market can sometimes result in stop-loss orders being triggered at unfavorable prices.

3. Rolling the Position

If the stock price moves close to the strike price of your naked option, you can roll the option to a further expiration date or a different strike price. This buys you more time and reduces the risk of the option being exercised.

• For a Naked Call:
  If the stock price is moving up toward your sold call strike, you can buy back the call and sell a higher strike call with a later expiration. This gives you a new range to work with.
• For a Naked Put:
  If the stock price is falling, you can buy back the sold put and sell a lower strike put with a later expiration. This allows you to move the risk further away.

Pros:

• It helps avoid immediate losses by giving you more time or a wider range.
• Allows you to stay in the trade without taking a hit if the market moves sharply.

Cons:

• Rolling doesn’t eliminate the risk, it just postpones it. If the market continues to move against you, you could face losses later.

4. Monitor Volatility (Use Implied Volatility to Your Advantage)

Since implied volatility (IV) affects option prices, understanding and monitoring volatility can help manage risk. You can avoid selling naked options in high-volatility environments because this increases the chance of large price movements.

• For Naked Calls and Puts:
  When implied volatility is high, options premiums are larger, but the risk of a significant price move is also greater. You can either avoid the trade or use a smaller position size in such situations.

Pros:

• Reduces the risk of getting caught in a sharp market move due to high volatility.
• Helps you enter the trade when market conditions are more stable.

Cons:

• If volatility suddenly increases after you’ve taken the position, you might still face unexpected risk.

5. Position Sizing (Avoid Overleveraging)

One of the simplest risk management strategies is to keep your position size small. By only using a small portion of your capital for any naked position, you reduce the risk of catastrophic losses.

• For Naked Call and Put:
  Instead of selling large amounts of naked options, use only a small fraction of your portfolio (e.g., 5-10%). This way, if the trade goes against you, it won’t wipe out your entire portfolio.

Pros:

• Limits your exposure to manageable losses.
• Allows you to maintain more control over your overall capital.

Cons:

• Smaller positions mean smaller profits, but this is the trade-off for managing risk.

6. Delta Hedging

To protect yourself against large directional moves, you can use delta hedging. This involves buying or selling the underlying asset (e.g., stock or futures) to offset the risk of a move against your naked options position.

• For a Naked Call:
  If the stock price is rising, you can buy shares or futures contracts to hedge your exposure. This will offset the losses from the call option as the stock price rises.
• For a Naked Put:
  If the stock price is falling, you can sell shares or futures contracts to offset the risk of a falling stock price.

Pros:

• Allows you to actively mitigate risk as the market moves.
• Can be useful in volatile markets to reduce directional exposure.

Cons:

• Requires constant monitoring and adjustments.
• More complex and may not be suitable for all traders.

7. Avoid Naked Options in Volatile Markets

Simply put, avoid using the Naked Call/Put strategy when the market is highly volatile, such as around earnings announcements, economic reports, or political events. These times are when the market is more likely to experience big moves, which can lead to heavy losses for naked options traders.

Pros:

• Reduces the chances of getting caught in sharp market moves.
• Helps avoid taking unnecessary risks during uncertain times.

Conclusion:

The Naked Call/Put Strategy can be very risky due to its unlimited or substantial loss potential. However, with the right risk management techniques, such as hedging, using stop-losses, rolling positions, and position sizing, you can limit your downside while still collecting premiums. Always assess the market conditions, avoid trading in highly volatile periods, and have a defined exit strategy to protect your capital.